Kes Rugi: Tamak

Overview

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The Setup

Initial Trade (Good Start)

Analysis: Good setup - price rejected resistance, RSI overbought, bearish engulfing candle.

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The Trade Timeline

Phase 1: Trade Goes Well

At this point: Trade is 2 ticks away from 40-tick target.

Phase 2: Greed Kicks In

Action: Trader MOVED TP from 4,240 to 4,200 (extra 40 ticks target).

Phase 3: Market Reverses

Phase 4: The Disaster

Final Result: -25 ticks = -RM 625

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The Math of This Trade

What Actually Happened

What Should Have Happened

Greed cost this trader RM 1,625!

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Analysis: Where It Went Wrong

Mistake 1: Moving TP During Winning Trade

Original plan: TP at 4,240 (40 ticks) Greedy action: Changed to 4,200 (80 ticks)

Problem: No technical reason. Just "rasa market akan terus turun."

Mistake 2: Ignoring Original Plan

Trade plan was:

• Entry: 4,280
• SL: 4,295
• TP: 4,240

Trader followed entry and SL, but IGNORED TP.

Mistake 3: Not Moving SL to Protect Profit

When at +40 ticks, trader should have:

• Moved SL to breakeven (at minimum)
• Or moved SL to lock some profit (e.g., 4,260)

Instead: SL stayed at original 4,295.

Mistake 4: Hope Took Over

After price started reversing:

• Should have cut early
• Instead: "Market will drop again..."
• This is hope trading combined with greed

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The Psychology Behind Greed

Why Trader Got Greedy

1. Trade going well → Overconfidence
2. "Easy money" feeling → Want more
3. Visualization → "If I hold, could make RM 2,000!"
4. Comparison → "Other traders make 100 ticks..."

The Mental Trap

GREED CYCLE:

Winning trade
    ↓
"I want MORE"
    ↓
Move TP further
    ↓
Market reverses
    ↓
"It will come back" (hope)
    ↓
Profit erased
    ↓
Now in loss
    ↓
"Cannot cut at loss after being up so much"
    ↓
Bigger loss

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What Good Traders Do

Option 1: Take Full Profit at TP

• Original TP: 4,240
• Price hits 4,240
• CLOSE FULL POSITION
• Profit: +40 ticks

Simple. Disciplined. Profitable.

Option 2: Partial Profit + Trail

• At 4,240: Close 50% position (+40 ticks on half)
• Move SL to breakeven on remaining
• Let rest run
• Worst case: +20 ticks total
• Best case: +60 or more ticks total

Option 3: Trail Stop Aggressively

• At +40 ticks: Move SL to +25 ticks
• Let it run
• If reversed, exit at +25 (still great trade)
• If continues, trail SL up

All three options = Profit secured.

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The Lesson: A Bird In Hand

Old Saying, True Wisdom

"A bird in hand is worth two in the bush."

In trading terms:

• 40 ticks REALIZED profit > 80 ticks HOPED profit
• Profit in your account > Profit on the chart
• Closed trade > Open trade

The Reality Check

Would you rather:

• 100% chance of RM 1,000
• 30% chance of RM 2,000 (70% chance of less or loss)

Math says: TAKE THE CERTAIN PROFIT.

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How To Prevent Greed

Rule 1: Write TP Before Entry

Before trade, write down:

• TP: _____ (price)
• Reason: _____ (technical level)

Once written, DO NOT CHANGE without new technical reason.

Rule 2: Use Bracket Orders

Set TP in platform BEFORE entry. When price hits TP, position AUTO CLOSES. No opportunity for greed to interfere.

Rule 3: At +20 Ticks, Move SL to Breakeven

Lock in the "free trade." Worst case: RM 0 Best case: Profit continues

Rule 4: Partial Profit Strategy

If you struggle with taking full profit:

• Close 50% at first target
• Trail stop on rest
• Guaranteed some profit

Rule 5: "Enough" Mindset

Before market open, define:

• "Today, 30 ticks is enough"
• When reached, STOP trading

Greed wants MORE. Discipline says ENOUGH.

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Recovery After Greedy Trade

Immediate

1. Accept what happened
2. Close the trade (don't hope more)
3. Take a break

Review

Answer these questions:

• Where was my original TP?
• Why did I move it?
• What would I have done differently?
• What rule do I need to add?

Going Forward

New rule: "I will not move TP unless there is a NEW technical reason (not just hope for more)."

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Quick Reference: Greed Warning Signs

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Summary Table

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Kesimpulan

Key Takeaways

The Trader's Oath Against Greed

"When my trade reaches target, I will take my profit. I will not let greed turn winners into losers. Profit in my account is real. Profit I imagine is fantasy. I choose reality over fantasy."

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Final Numbers

The difference: One decision to take profit or hold.

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"Pigs get fat, hogs get slaughtered. In trading, always be a pig, never a hog. Take your profit and be grateful."