scalpBalancedmean-reversionsimpleBest TF: 60mPassed rolling walk-forward (Mode B)TV: Compiled (Pine v6 PASS)

VWAP Reversion

Fade price when it deviates N standard deviations from the session VWAP. Classic mean-reversion for range days.

Profitability — TV multi-year derived

NEGATIVE EV
RM/Day
-35
net MYR ÷ trading days
Trades/Day
0.3
avg trade frequency
Monthly Est
RM -770
RM/day × 22 days
Trading Days
1,038
2022-01-01 → 2026-04-25
Philosophy

Price rubber-bands around fair value. When it stretches too far, it snaps back. Works best on quiet, range-bound sessions — stay out on trending days.

Walk-forward status: Passed rolling walk-forward (Mode B)

A config in this family reached PROMOTED status in the rolling walk-forward (top-5 train AND OOS SQN > 1.0 in at least 3 of 4 rolling windows on legacy_5m). Most robust badge in the library.

This strategy: On legacy_5m, configs sd30×2 and sd40×2 were PROMOTED in rolling Mode B (top-5 train AND OOS SQN > 1 in 3 of 4 windows; mean OOS SQN 0.81 and 1.49 respectively). Mode A PASS: sd30×2 (OOS SQN 1.62) and sd20×1.5 (OOS SQN 1.06). The featured legacy_60m config was not directly tested — family robustness is the basis for the badge.

Authoritative result · TV multi-year backtest

TradingView 5m, multi-year history

TV UNPROFITABLE
Net (MYR)
-36,340
Profit Factor
0.52
Win rate
46.3%
Trades
341
Max DD (MYR)
+36,975

TV multi-year on 5m (sd40×2 variant): the rolling walk-forward champion did NOT replicate. -36k MYR with PF 0.52. The 1-month signal was a sampling artefact.

Tested 2026-04-25. This is the load-bearing evidence — it overrides the 1-month sweep below.

Local 1-month sweep — in-sample only, weak signal

In-sample only — weak signal
SQN
2.29
Profit Factor
6.25
Win rate
85.7%
Trades
7
Net profit
MYR +2,915
Max drawdown
MYR +555
Dataset
legacy_60m
Timeframe
60m

TV Strategy Tester evidence

Captured from TradingView

Entries on chart (3 screenshots)

Chart screenshot vwap-sd40x2-15m.png
vwap-sd40x2-15m.png
Chart screenshot vwap-sd40x2-60m.png
vwap-sd40x2-60m.png
Chart screenshot vwap-sd40x2-recent.png
vwap-sd40x2-recent.png

Strategy properties

Style
scalp
Profile
Balanced
Trades / day
0.30
Avg bars held
TV compile status
Compiled (Pine v6 PASS)
Walk-forward
Passed rolling walk-forward (Mode B)
Moderate WR with PF ~1.5–2. Workhorse — no extreme runs either way.

Parameters

stdevPeriod
20
stdevMult
1.5

Applies to

  • Market: FCPO (Crude Palm Oil Futures, Bursa Malaysia)
  • Timeframe: 60m
  • Style: Scalping (seconds to minutes)
  • Complexity: 1 rule, plug-and-play

When it works

Range-bound / low-volatility regimes. Avoid strong trending sessions.

Pine Script coming soon

Related strategies (mean-reversion)

Full raw backtest result
{
  "dataset": "legacy_60m",
  "tf": "60m",
  "params": {
    "stdevPeriod": 20,
    "stdevMult": 1.5
  },
  "trades": 7,
  "winRate": 85.71,
  "netProfitMYR": 2915,
  "profitFactor": 6.25,
  "sqn": 2.29,
  "maxDrawdownMYR": 555
}

Amaran Risiko: Dagangan niaga hadapan (futures) melibatkan risiko kerugian yang tinggi dan tidak sesuai untuk semua pelabur. Kerugian boleh melebihi deposit margin asal anda. Prestasi lampau bukan jaminan prestasi masa hadapan. Kandungan di laman ini adalah untuk tujuan pendidikan dan maklumat sahaja, dan bukan nasihat pelaburan. Pastikan anda memahami sepenuhnya risiko yang terlibat sebelum berdagang, dan dapatkan nasihat profesional jika perlu.