swingBalancedtrend-followingsimpleBest TF: 4hWalk-forward untestedTV: Compiled (Pine v6 PASS)

Supertrend Flip

Follow the Supertrend indicator; enter on direction flips and ride until the next flip. Simple trend-following workhorse.

Profitability — TV multi-year derived

NEGATIVE EV
RM/Day
-88
net MYR ÷ trading days
Trades/Day
0.6
avg trade frequency
Monthly Est
RM -1,931
RM/day × 22 days
Trading Days
1,038
2022-01-01 → 2026-04-25
Philosophy

One indicator, one rule. Designed for people who want to stop second-guessing and simply obey the trend. Cuts losers fast, lets winners breathe.

Walk-forward status: Walk-forward untested

The featured config below was not directly covered by the walk-forward grids (different dataset or timeframe, or the in-sample SQN was too low to promote to OOS evaluation). Treat the in-sample numbers with appropriate caution — no unseen-window validation yet.

This strategy: Featured config is snap_4h — outside the walk-forward grid (which uses legacy tick data at 1m/5m/15m). No OOS verdict yet. Treat the in-sample SQN with caution until the test is extended to the 4h/daily snap datasets.

Authoritative result · TV multi-year backtest

TradingView 5m, multi-year history

TV UNPROFITABLE
Net (MYR)
-91,105
Profit Factor
0.58
Win rate
29.4%
Trades
595
Max DD (MYR)
+91,205

TV Wave-2 multi-year on 5m (Supertrend(10,3) flip): -91k MYR, PF 0.58, 29.4% WR. FCPO 5m flips direction too often for Supertrend to hold winners. Avg trade -153 MYR is the worst of all 5 Wave-2 strategies because the Supertrend stop sits ATR-distant from entry.

Tested 2026-04-25. This is the load-bearing evidence — it overrides the 1-month sweep below.

Local 1-month sweep — in-sample only, weak signal

In-sample only — weak signal
SQN
1.58
Profit Factor
2.13
Win rate
55.6%
Trades
18
Net profit
MYR +5,010
Max drawdown
MYR +2,220
Dataset
snap_4h
Timeframe
4h

Strategy properties

Style
swing
Profile
Balanced
Trades / day
0.13
Avg bars held
TV compile status
Compiled (Pine v6 PASS)
Walk-forward
Walk-forward untested
Moderate WR with PF ~1.5–2. Workhorse — no extreme runs either way.

Parameters

period
7
mult
2

Applies to

  • Market: FCPO (Crude Palm Oil Futures, Bursa Malaysia)
  • Timeframe: 4h
  • Style: Swing (hours to days)
  • Complexity: 1 rule, plug-and-play

When it works

Strong, directional trends. Performs poorly in chop.

Pine Script coming soon

Related strategies (trend-following)

Full raw backtest result
{
  "dataset": "snap_4h",
  "tf": "4h",
  "params": {
    "period": 7,
    "mult": 2
  },
  "trades": 18,
  "winRate": 55.56,
  "netProfitMYR": 5010,
  "profitFactor": 2.13,
  "sqn": 1.58,
  "maxDrawdownMYR": 2220
}