Market Wizards

Mark Minervini

Leadership selection, precise entries, and disciplined process.

Mark Minervini's public material centers on finding strength, waiting for alignment, executing precisely, and reviewing trades through a repeatable process.

Sources
3
Insights
187
FCPO Links
32
Top Topics
Mindset, Consistency, Discipline, Risk Management
View FCPO connection onlyPublic Source Dossier · 78Holy Grail in Trading Video · 62Master Trader Program Video · 47
Showing 18 of 22 results
Page 1 of 2
Mental ModelImpact 4/5Public DossierFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Process over prediction

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Minervini argues that trading success is built on a repeatable process—rigorous preparation, screening for strong candidates, waiting for aligned market and chart conditions, using precise entries and exits, and controlling risk—rather than on trying to predict market outcomes.

He cautions against becoming aggressive solely because indexes look strong, noting that volatility and confirmation from both the market environment and the individual chart should govern position sizing and timing.

Ongoing post-trade review and disciplined adherence to execution rules are the mechanisms that convert individual edges into compounded skill over time.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

Process over prediction for FCPO means building a repeatable routine tailored to Bursa Malaysia: prepare position plans in MYR for 25‑MT lots, use MPOB releases, monsoon and festival seasonality, and CPO/soybean oil spreads to set entries, stops and targets, and execute only when your timing and rules align.

Focus on disciplined trade management, intra‑day and rollover rules during Bursa hours, and post‑trade review instead of guessing price moves.

Bottom Line In Practice

Before the MPOB monthly report, scale into one 25‑MT FCPO lot in MYR with a defined stop below the recent low and a plan to add or reduce exposure if the CPO/soybean oil spread widens by 50 points after the data release.

FCPO Lenses
PsychologyRisk ManagementPosition SizingMarket StructureFundamentals
Mental ModelImpact 4/5VideoFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Probability Thinking

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Minervini argues that after you enter at a buy point you should think in probabilities, not certainties — assume the stock will spend significant time both above and below your buy price rather than only marching upward.

That means the trader’s job is not to predict exact peaks or time perpetual gains, but to size positions and manage risk so temporary dips and swings around the buy point won’t destroy the account.

Treating outcomes as roughly 50/50 up or down forces concrete rules for stops, position size, and patience instead of relying on a belief that the stock will only go higher.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

Think in probabilities when trading FCPO: every trade is a chance, not a certainty — factor seasonality (monsoon-driven supply swings, harvest cycles and festive demand) and data releases into win/loss odds, not guarantees.

Use Bursa Malaysia trading hours and typical liquidity patterns to size and time entries in 25‑MT MYR contracts, and treat CPO vs soybean oil spreads and MPOB reports as probability-adjusting information rather than binary signals.

Bottom Line In Practice

You see FCPOK24 bid at MYR 4,200/MT after MPOB reports stock build but soybean oil firm; instead of ‘must be wrong’ or ‘must be right’, assign probabilities: 60% chance of short-term pullback, 40% chance of quick rebound.

Enter 1 lot (25 MT) short at 4,200 with a stop-loss at 4,260 (MYR 1,500 risk) and a two-to-one reward target at 3,980; monitor Bursa liquidity windows (morning and close) and the CPO/soybean oil spread — if the spread widens favouring CPO, reduce size or tighten stop because probabilities shifted.

If MPOB next week prints heavier-than-expected exports, reassess probabilities and adjust or exit rather than cling to certainty.

FCPO Lenses
SeasonalityFundamentalsTechnicalsRisk ManagementPsychologyPosition Sizing
Mental ModelImpact 4/5Public DossierFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Portability awareness

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

The mentor warns that screening rules and product-specific metrics created for one market often won’t translate directly to a different market or instrument.

Traders should review each rule’s assumptions — such as liquidity, tick size, typical holding periods and information flow — and test whether those conditions hold before applying the rule elsewhere.

If a metric depends on characteristics that differ in the target market, it should be adapted or discarded rather than used unchanged.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

Portability awareness for FCPO means testing tools and indicators used in other markets (e.

g.

, equities or US futures) against Bursa Malaysia specifics—25‑MT lot size, MYR settlement, local trading hours and margin requirements—before applying them live.

Account for palm oil seasonality, MPOB release timing, CPO/soybean oil spreads and local retail trader behavior by adjusting timeframes, position sizing and signal thresholds rather than using settings calibrated for a different asset class unchanged.

Bottom Line In Practice

Instead of using a short‑term RSI threshold from equity trading, FCPO traders may widen the RSI band and use weekly smoothing around MPOB report dates to avoid false signals from seasonal supply swings and thin intraday liquidity.

FCPO Lenses
PsychologyRisk ManagementPosition SizingMarket StructureFundamentals
Mental ModelImpact 4/5Public DossierFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Leadership over noise

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Minervini stresses trading instruments that show clear relative strength and constructive price action rather than those that move through volatile, noisy market behavior.

He waits for alignment between the broader market tone, the individual stock’s chart behavior, and a defined entry signal, often monitoring volatility for confirmation before increasing exposure.

The practical implication is to screen specifically for current leadership candidates and reject stocks that lack disciplined chart structure, because leadership tends to continue while noisy moves often fail.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

Focus on FCPO contracts that show clear relative strength in MYR terms and sustained leadership across nearby expiry months and volume, instead of chasing volatile spikes caused by headlines or thin session liquidity; prioritize contracts with consistent bid support through Malaysian market hours and around MPOB report windows, and align entries with seasonal production cycles and festive demand when fundamentals corroborate strength.

Use CPO-soybean oil spread behavior and MPOB stock/production surprises to confirm true leadership versus noise before sizing positions in 25MT lots.

Bottom Line In Practice

If FCPO4 shows rising closes on increasing volume across several sessions while MPOB reports lower-than-expected stocks and the CPO/soy spread widens in favor of palm, take a scaled long in 25MT lots rather than buying during a single spike after a weather rumor.

FCPO Lenses
PsychologyRisk ManagementPosition SizingMarket StructureFundamentals
Mental ModelImpact 4/5VideoFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Asymmetry

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Minervini illustrates that a defined buy point creates an asymmetric payoff: upside is effectively unlimited while downside is capped at zero, so a stock can rise far more than it can fall from the same entry.

Even if price spends roughly half the time above and half below the buy point, a trader’s objective is not to predict exact tops or how long a runner will keep going but to select setups where the potential upside from the buy point materially exceeds the likely downside.

The practical lesson is to favor entries and rules that maximize reward-to-risk from the buy point and avoid strategies that require timing every peak or projecting exact magnitudes of future gains.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

Asymmetry for FCPO traders means entering positions where your downside is strictly limited by a defined MYR stop-loss per 25‑MT lot while your upside can be multiples of that risk because Malaysian palm prices can spike on seasonal tightness, MPOB surprises or supply shocks.

Use Bursa Malaysia trading hours and typical intraday liquidity windows to scale in/out, factor CPO–soybean oil spread dynamics and seasonal monsoon/harvest cycles, and treat each 25‑MT contract as a discrete bet with clearly measured risk so retail traders avoid one large loss and let winners run.

This mental model encourages tight risk control, realistic position sizing in MYR per lot, and patience to capture uncapped gains when fundamentals and spreads align.

Bottom Line In Practice

Example: You observe MPOB monthly stock/production surprise showing falling stocks and a widening CPO–soybean oil spread; FCPO December is trading at MYR 4,200/MT.

You decide to buy 1 FCPO contract (25 MT) at 4,200 with a hard stop at 4,080 (loss = 120 MYR/MT → 120 × 25 = MYR 3,000 risk).

You size to risk no more than MYR 3,000 (one contract).

Target is MYR 4,560 (an upside of 360 MYR/MT → 360 × 25 = MYR 9,000), a 3:1 reward:risk.

Monitor Bursa liquidity around morning and late-afternoon sessions, watch MPOB weekly/monthly updates and CPO–soy spread moves; if spread narrows or MPOB prints weaker-than-expected, tighten or exit to preserve the limited downside.

This lets you accept a known MYR loss per 25‑MT lot while letting a fundamental/seasonal rally deliver uncapped gains.

FCPO Lenses
SeasonalityFundamentalsTechnicalsRisk ManagementPsychologyPosition Sizing
Mental ModelImpact 4/5Public DossierFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Alignment-first model

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Minervini argues that trades should only be taken when several independent conditions line up: a constructive market tone, a fundamentally or technically strong stock, confirming chart behavior, and a precise entry point.

He warns against forcing trades based on one signal (for example, rising indexes alone) because that increases exposure to false positives; instead the corrective lesson is to require corroboration across market context, stock leadership, and execution rules to reduce reliance on any single indicator.

This alignment-first approach is paired with tight risk control and repeatable execution so that opportunities are selected and managed rather than predicted.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

For FCPO traders on Bursa Malaysia, adopt an alignment-first approach: enter only when multiple independent signals—price action on the MYR-denominated 25‑MT contract, MPOB production and stock releases, seasonal monsoon/harvest patterns, and CPO/soybean oil spread behavior—converge to support the trade.

Factor market structure and Bursa trading hours to avoid chasing overnight news or retail impulse trades, using alignment to filter false breakouts around festive demand spikes and MPOB data surprises.

Bottom Line In Practice

Only buy when FCPO breaks above a clear resistance on high volume during Bursa hours, MPOB weekly stocks fall, seasonal supply is tightening due to monsoon impacts, and the CPO/soybean oil spread is widening in favor of CPO.

FCPO Lenses
PsychologyRisk ManagementPosition SizingMarket StructureFundamentals
Mental ModelImpact 4/5Public Dossier
Core Idea

Superperformance Traits

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

The idea that exceptional performers share identifiable, repeatable characteristics.

Mental ModelImpact 4/5Public Dossier
Core Idea

Study the best

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Learning from top performers' patterns and behaviors to distill principles that produce outperformance.

Mental ModelImpact 4/5Video
Core Idea

Risk-Reward Leveraging

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Small controlled losses and larger, less-frequently captured gains can produce outsized returns even with modest win rates.

Mental ModelImpact 4/5Public Dossier
Core Idea

Performance Thinking

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Adopting empowerment and high-performance mindsets to improve execution and consistency.

Mental ModelImpact 4/5Video
Core Idea

Opportunity Cost

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

The cost of tying capital to a long-shot large gain is the lost potential from taking multiple smaller, more probable gains.

Mental ModelImpact 4/5Public Dossier
Core Idea

Momentum/Relative Strength

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Assets that show strong relative performance can lead hidden rallies and sustained moves.

Mental ModelImpact 4/5Video
Core Idea

Long-Term Value Perspective

Master Trader Program VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Evaluate educational investments by their long-term applicability and return rather than short-term cost.

Mental ModelImpact 4/5Video
Core Idea

Law of large numbers

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Over many independent trials, outcomes will converge towards expected probabilities, reducing variance of average result.

Mental ModelImpact 4/5Public Dossier
Core Idea

Integrated operating system

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Viewing disparate trading skills as connected parts of one system rather than separate competencies.

Mental ModelImpact 4/5Video
Core Idea

Expected Value (Expectancy)

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Average profit per trade computed from win rate and win/loss sizes; positive expectancy yields long-term profit.

Mental ModelImpact 4/5Video
Core Idea

Compounding skill advantage

Master Trader Program VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Gaining clearer, integrated knowledge multiplies a trader's capability compared with operating without that insight.

Mental ModelImpact 4/5Video
Core Idea

Compounding of Repeated Trades

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Small percentage gains compounded over multiple iterations can produce outsized aggregate returns.