Market Wizards

Mark Minervini

Leadership selection, precise entries, and disciplined process.

Mark Minervini's public material centers on finding strength, waiting for alignment, executing precisely, and reviewing trades through a repeatable process.

Sources
3
Insights
187
FCPO Links
32
Top Topics
Mindset, Consistency, Discipline, Risk Management
View FCPO connection onlyPublic Source Dossier · 78Holy Grail in Trading Video · 62Master Trader Program Video · 47
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WarningImpact 4/5VideoFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Warning: Trying to predict market peaks or how far a stock will run

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Minervini warns that trying to predict market tops or how far a stock will run is a poor approach for active trading.

Because price can move unpredictably — sometimes trending up for long stretches, sometimes falling to zero — attempting to forecast exact peaks leads to missed executions and bad decisions.

Instead, he recommends treating trades probabilistically: use a clearly defined buy point and a repeatable process rather than trying to call the ultimate high.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

Warning: Don’t try to predict the exact peak of an FCPO move or how far a contract will run; FCPO trades are 25MT lots denominated in MYR on Bursa Malaysia and are driven by seasonal harvests, monsoon disruptions, festive demand and MPOB reports.

Focus on evidence-based entries and exits, use spread signals (CPO vs soybean oil), respect Bursa market hours and liquidity by trading the most liquid nearby contracts, and manage risk with defined stops rather than guessing tops.

Treat momentum runs as opportunities to scale out rather than hold hoping for the final top.

Bottom Line In Practice

A retail trader buys 1 FCPO lot (25MT) of the nearest-month contract at MYR 3,200 after a breakout confirmed by rising volume during Malaysian market hours.

The trader notes MPOB weekly stocks due tomorrow and the CPO/soybean oil spread narrowing (supporting CPO strength).

Instead of holding for an uncertain peak, they set a stop at MYR 3,120 (80 MYR risk) and plan to scale out: sell half at MYR 3,360 (target +160 MYR) and move stop on the remaining half to breakeven, watching MPOB release and spread moves before deciding on the remainder.

This protects capital if the breakout fails and locks in profits if the run continues.

FCPO Lenses
SeasonalityFundamentalsTechnicalsRisk ManagementPsychologyPosition Sizing
WarningImpact 4/5Public DossierFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Warning: Forcing trades without alignment

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Minervini warns against forcing entries when only one element looks favorable; successful trades require several factors lining up together.

Specifically, he insists you need the right overall market tone, a leading stock, constructive chart behavior, and a precise entry signal before increasing aggressiveness.

Ignoring this alignment — for example, buying solely because indexes are strong or because you fear missing out — increases risk and undermines the repeatability of your approach.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

Warning: Do not force FCPO trades without alignment across contract mechanics and market drivers — because each lot is 25 MT and quoted in MYR, forcing oversized entries during low liquidity Malaysian hours or ahead of MPOB reports can magnify slippage and margin risk.

Wait for alignment of price action with seasonal patterns (monsoon-driven supply shifts, festive demand), MPOB data, and CPO/soybean oil spread confirmation before committing capital.

Bottom Line In Practice

Instead of forcing a long before the MPOB monthly production release, wait for a confirmed breakout during Kuala Lumpur trading hours with supportive MPOB numbers and narrowing CPO/soybean oil spreads before buying one 25‑MT FCPO lot.

FCPO Lenses
PsychologyRisk ManagementPosition SizingMarket StructureFundamentals
WarningImpact 4/5Public DossierFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Warning: Becoming aggressive solely because indexes are strong

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Minervini warns against ramping up position size or trading frequency just because broad market indexes are rising; doing so ignores other critical confirmation signals and can expose you to sudden reversals.

He advocates checking volatility, the overall market tone, and the specific stock's chart behavior before increasing aggression, so that strength is corroborated rather than assumed.

The practical point is to wait for alignment of market environment, individual stock leadership, clean chart patterns, and a precise entry trigger before committing more capital.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

Warning: Do not become aggressive in buying FCPO simply because equity indexes or global oilseeds are strong; FCPO trades in 25‑MT MYR‑denominated lots on Bursa Malaysia are driven by local seasonality, MPOB data and regional demand that can diverge from broad indexes.

Always check upcoming MPOB monthly statistics, monsoon‑related production cycles, CPO/soybean oil spreads and Malaysian market hours before increasing lot size or leverage, and temper retail FOMO that often ignores these contract‑specific risks.

Bottom Line In Practice

After seeing regional equity gains, a retail trader buys three FCPO lots at 3,600 MYR without checking an imminent MPOB stock build and the weakening CPO/soybean spread, and is forced to liquidate at a 6% loss when local supply news drives prices down.

FCPO Lenses
PsychologyRisk ManagementPosition SizingMarket StructureFundamentals
WarningImpact 4/5Video
Core Idea

Warning: Treating a purchase like a lifetime-safe investment expecting it never to drop below the buy price

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

May cause complacency and lack of active trade management when trading regularly

WarningImpact 4/5Video
Core Idea

Warning: Ignoring win rate when evaluating reward-to-risk

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Overestimating or underestimating true expectancy, leading to poor sizing or strategy choice

WarningImpact 4/5Video
Core Idea

Warning: Focusing on getting the biggest gain or buying exact lows

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Missed opportunities, poor execution, and likely worse results because perfect timing is infeasible

WarningImpact 4/5Video
Core Idea

Warning: Cutting winners too early (choking off gains)

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Reduces realized upside and undermines the intended risk-reward relationship

WarningImpact 4/5Video
Core Idea

Warning: Chasing only the largest possible winners

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Fewer opportunities and potential lower compounded returns due to opportunity cost

WarningImpact 4/5Public Dossier
Core Idea

Warning: Chasing broad market narratives

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Fix: Focus on SEPA and objective entry confirmation in leading stocks instead of following headlines.

WarningImpact 4/5Video
Core Idea

Warning: Allowing losses to grow or failing to contain risk

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Erodes the positive edge and can turn a profitable strategy into a losing one

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