Market Wizards

Mark Minervini

Leadership selection, precise entries, and disciplined process.

Mark Minervini's public material centers on finding strength, waiting for alignment, executing precisely, and reviewing trades through a repeatable process.

Sources
3
Insights
187
FCPO Links
32
Top Topics
Mindset, Consistency, Discipline, Risk Management
View FCPO connection onlyPublic Source Dossier · 78Holy Grail in Trading Video · 62Master Trader Program Video · 47
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PrincipleImpact 4/5Public DossierFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Preparation over prediction

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Minervini argues that trading success comes from setting up repeatable processes — scouting likely leaders, waiting for the market and a stock’s chart to align, defining precise entries and exits, and enforcing tight risk control — rather than trying to forecast every move.

He stresses watching volatility and overall market tone and only becoming aggressive when both the environment and the individual chart give confirmation.

This approach prioritizes preparation, timing and disciplined trade management so outcomes are driven by rules and execution instead of prediction luck.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

Preparation over prediction for FCPO means building repeatable entry, exit and risk rules that account for 25‑MT contract sizing and MYR settlement, MPOB monthly reports, monsoon-driven production cycles and seasonal festive demand rather than guessing prices.

Focus on timing trades within Bursa Malaysia hours, managing lot-based position sizing, watching CPO/soybean oil spreads and having contingency plans for high-volatility MPOB surprises.

Bottom Line In Practice

Enter one 25‑MT long FCPO lot after MPOB shows a 5% drop in stocks versus last month, size stops to limit loss to 1% of portfolio value and monitor CPO/SBO spread for exit signals.

FCPO Lenses
PsychologyRisk ManagementPosition SizingMarket StructureFundamentals
PrincipleImpact 4/5Public DossierFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Precise execution & risk control

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Minervini insists that repeatable success depends less on predicting markets and more on following exact entry/exit rules, strict sizing, and defined stop limits so each trade is measurable and survivable.

He emphasizes waiting for multiple confirmations — the right market tone, a leading stock, constructive chart behavior, and a specific entry — rather than forcing trades when indices merely look strong.

The practical point is to combine precise execution with tight risk control and routine post-trade review so outcomes become consistent and losses remain limited.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

On Bursa Malaysia, apply precise execution and tight risk controls using FCPO’s 25‑MT lot size and MYR denomination: predefine entry/exit orders, maximum MYR risk per contract and stop levels so each trade fits within daily Malaysian market hours and your account limits.

Incorporate palm oil seasonality, MPOB monthly data releases and CPO/soybean oil spread signals into your execution plan so position sizing and stops adjust before known volatility events (e.

g.

, monsoon harvest shifts or festive demand spikes).

Bottom Line In Practice

Before the MPOB report, risk no more than MYR 5,000 per 25‑MT contract, place a limit entry and a hard stop 2% away, and widen or reduce size only if the CPO/soybean oil spread signals sustained strength.

FCPO Lenses
PsychologyRisk ManagementPosition SizingMarket StructureFundamentals
PrincipleImpact 4/5Public DossierFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Post-trade review

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Minervini places post-trade review as an explicit part of his trading workflow: after a trade is closed or a plan is executed, you systematically analyze what happened versus your rules — entries, exits, sizing, risk management and emotional decisions.

This review is used to identify where the process broke down (or held up), capture lessons about chart behavior and market context, and refine the mechanical rules and personal discipline that guide future trades.

By making review a repeatable step alongside screening, precise entries and tight risk control, the trader converts individual outcomes into continuous process improvement.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

After each FCPO trade, document entry/exit prices (in MYR), lot size (25 MT), time within Bursa trading hours, and compare outcomes to MPOB reports, seasonal monsoon/harvest expectations, and CPO/soybean oil spread moves to identify systematic edge or mistakes.

Use these post-trade reviews to refine signals, position sizing and discipline—for example noting if a loss came from ignoring a weak MPOB export number or crowd-driven late-session retail behavior—so future trades better account for Bursa market structure and seasonal fundamentals.

Bottom Line In Practice

After closing a 2-lot (50 MT) short position at 3,800 MYR following a surprise MPOB production increase, record that the trade failed because you ignored weakening CPO/soybean oil spreads and reduced position size for the next similar setup.

FCPO Lenses
PsychologyRisk ManagementPosition SizingMarket StructureFundamentals
Mental ModelImpact 4/5Public DossierFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Leadership over noise

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Minervini stresses trading instruments that show clear relative strength and constructive price action rather than those that move through volatile, noisy market behavior.

He waits for alignment between the broader market tone, the individual stock’s chart behavior, and a defined entry signal, often monitoring volatility for confirmation before increasing exposure.

The practical implication is to screen specifically for current leadership candidates and reject stocks that lack disciplined chart structure, because leadership tends to continue while noisy moves often fail.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

Focus on FCPO contracts that show clear relative strength in MYR terms and sustained leadership across nearby expiry months and volume, instead of chasing volatile spikes caused by headlines or thin session liquidity; prioritize contracts with consistent bid support through Malaysian market hours and around MPOB report windows, and align entries with seasonal production cycles and festive demand when fundamentals corroborate strength.

Use CPO-soybean oil spread behavior and MPOB stock/production surprises to confirm true leadership versus noise before sizing positions in 25MT lots.

Bottom Line In Practice

If FCPO4 shows rising closes on increasing volume across several sessions while MPOB reports lower-than-expected stocks and the CPO/soy spread widens in favor of palm, take a scaled long in 25MT lots rather than buying during a single spike after a weather rumor.

FCPO Lenses
PsychologyRisk ManagementPosition SizingMarket StructureFundamentals
PrincipleImpact 4/5VideoFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Defined Buy Point

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Minervini emphasizes treating a clearly defined buy point on the chart as the fixed reference for a trade — everything that happens after that exact price is what matters for your result.

He frames post-entry price movement as having unlimited upside but a capped downside to zero, and for the sake of illustration assumes price spends roughly half the time above and half below the buy point.

The practical takeaway is not to waste effort trying to predict exact tops or how far a run will go, but to place and manage trades relative to a specific, predetermined buy point and its implied risk.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

Set a precise FCPO buy point on the chart (e.

g.

, a breakout above a defined candlestick high or 20-day volatility pivot) and use that exact level to enter 25‑MT contracts in MYR terms; avoid vague entries driven by hope or FOMO.

Confirm the trigger with relevant local context — MPOB weekly stocks/production, seasonal harvesting/monsoon windows, and CPO/soybean oil spread behaviour — and only scale in or add after clear, rule‑based follow‑through during Bursa market hours when liquidity is adequate.

Bottom Line In Practice

Example: You watch FCPO9 (nearest contract) in MYR and mark a defined buy point at 3,700 based on a breakout above the last 10-day high.

MPOB weekly data released that morning shows falling stocks and steady exports, and the CPO/SBO spread has widened in favour of CPO, supporting demand.

At 9:15 MYT, price closes above 3,700 on volume within active Bursa hours; you buy one 25‑MT lot at 3,705, set an initial stop at 3,600 (risk ~105 MYR/MT or ~RM 2,625 per contract) and plan to add one more lot only if price sustains above 3,760 with confirming volume and no negative MPOB surprise.

FCPO Lenses
SeasonalityFundamentalsTechnicalsRisk ManagementPsychologyPosition Sizing
PrincipleImpact 4/5Public DossierFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Confirm before aggressing

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Minervini warns against increasing position size or trading aggressiveness solely because major indexes are rising.

He looks for confirmation from multiple dimensions—diminished volatility, supportive overall market tone, and constructive behavior on the individual stock’s chart—before committing more capital.

The point is to require alignment across market environment, volatility regime, and the specific chart pattern rather than relying on index strength as a single green light.

This lowers the chance of getting caught in short-lived rallies or volatile market conditions that can wipe out gains.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

Do not increase FCPO lot size or trade aggression simply because regional indices or CPO benchmarks are strong; require confirmation from volatility metrics (e.

g.

, lower ATR or tightening intraday ranges), alignment with MPOB data or seasonal production patterns, and clear price structure on the FCPO chart.

Also check related signals such as CPO/soybean oil spread tightening and Malaysian market-hour behavior before adding lots, remembering each FCPO contract is 25 MT and position changes multiply exposure in MYR terms.

Bottom Line In Practice

Instead of buying a third FCPO lot because the KLCI is up, wait for a daily close above resistance with ATR contracting and a favorable MPOB monthly stock/supply report—only then increase from 1 to 2 lots (25 MT to 50 MT).

FCPO Lenses
PsychologyRisk ManagementPosition SizingMarket StructureFundamentals
Mental ModelImpact 4/5VideoFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Asymmetry

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Minervini illustrates that a defined buy point creates an asymmetric payoff: upside is effectively unlimited while downside is capped at zero, so a stock can rise far more than it can fall from the same entry.

Even if price spends roughly half the time above and half below the buy point, a trader’s objective is not to predict exact tops or how long a runner will keep going but to select setups where the potential upside from the buy point materially exceeds the likely downside.

The practical lesson is to favor entries and rules that maximize reward-to-risk from the buy point and avoid strategies that require timing every peak or projecting exact magnitudes of future gains.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

Asymmetry for FCPO traders means entering positions where your downside is strictly limited by a defined MYR stop-loss per 25‑MT lot while your upside can be multiples of that risk because Malaysian palm prices can spike on seasonal tightness, MPOB surprises or supply shocks.

Use Bursa Malaysia trading hours and typical intraday liquidity windows to scale in/out, factor CPO–soybean oil spread dynamics and seasonal monsoon/harvest cycles, and treat each 25‑MT contract as a discrete bet with clearly measured risk so retail traders avoid one large loss and let winners run.

This mental model encourages tight risk control, realistic position sizing in MYR per lot, and patience to capture uncapped gains when fundamentals and spreads align.

Bottom Line In Practice

Example: You observe MPOB monthly stock/production surprise showing falling stocks and a widening CPO–soybean oil spread; FCPO December is trading at MYR 4,200/MT.

You decide to buy 1 FCPO contract (25 MT) at 4,200 with a hard stop at 4,080 (loss = 120 MYR/MT → 120 × 25 = MYR 3,000 risk).

You size to risk no more than MYR 3,000 (one contract).

Target is MYR 4,560 (an upside of 360 MYR/MT → 360 × 25 = MYR 9,000), a 3:1 reward:risk.

Monitor Bursa liquidity around morning and late-afternoon sessions, watch MPOB weekly/monthly updates and CPO–soy spread moves; if spread narrows or MPOB prints weaker-than-expected, tighten or exit to preserve the limited downside.

This lets you accept a known MYR loss per 25‑MT lot while letting a fundamental/seasonal rally deliver uncapped gains.

FCPO Lenses
SeasonalityFundamentalsTechnicalsRisk ManagementPsychologyPosition Sizing
PrincipleImpact 4/5VideoFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Asymmetric Risk/Reward

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Minervini emphasizes that when you buy a stock at a defined buy point you face an asymmetric payoff: the upside is effectively unlimited while the downside is capped at zero (you can only lose your investment).

He frames a simple hypothetical where the stock spends roughly half the time above and half the time below the buy price to show that you do not need perfect timing of peaks—what matters is accepting that occasional setbacks will occur.

The practical point is to design a trading approach that limits downside (position sizing, stops) while allowing you to capture large upside moves, rather than trying to predict exact tops.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

For FCPO traders, focus on asymmetric risk/reward by remembering each long in Bursa Malaysia is MYR‑denominated and in 25‑MT lots: your maximum downside from the buy point is limited to the contract falling to zero, while upside can be many multiples if palm fundamentals and seasonality turn bullish.

Use MPOB releases, monsoon and harvest cycles, CPO–soybean oil spread signals, and Malaysia trading hours/liquidity to pick high‑probability buy points and place disciplined stops so a small, defined loss per 25‑MT lot protects capital while leaving room for outsized gains.

This mindset counters common retail habits of averaging down without defined risk and helps size positions so one or two big winners offset several small losses.

Bottom Line In Practice

Example: You identify a buy entry at MYR 3,600/MT on FCPO for the next contract during morning Bursa hours after MPOB reports lower-than-expected output and the CPO/soybean oil spread widens supportive.

You buy 1 lot (25 MT) at 3,600 and place a stop at 3,300 to limit downside to MYR 25 × 300 = MYR 7,500.

If seasonality and MPOB momentum push the price to 4,200, your upside is MYR 25 × 600 = MYR 15,000 — an asymmetric payoff (15,000 vs 7,500).

Size the position relative to your account so that the MYR 7,500 max loss per lot aligns with your risk rules, and monitor liquidity around local market open/close and next MPOB release to adjust or take profits.

FCPO Lenses
SeasonalityFundamentalsTechnicalsRisk ManagementPsychologyPosition Sizing
Mental ModelImpact 4/5Public DossierFCPO Connection
Core Idea

Alignment-first model

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Minervini argues that trades should only be taken when several independent conditions line up: a constructive market tone, a fundamentally or technically strong stock, confirming chart behavior, and a precise entry point.

He warns against forcing trades based on one signal (for example, rising indexes alone) because that increases exposure to false positives; instead the corrective lesson is to require corroboration across market context, stock leadership, and execution rules to reduce reliance on any single indicator.

This alignment-first approach is paired with tight risk control and repeatable execution so that opportunities are selected and managed rather than predicted.

FCPO ApplicationRelevance 5/5
Bursa Translation

For FCPO traders on Bursa Malaysia, adopt an alignment-first approach: enter only when multiple independent signals—price action on the MYR-denominated 25‑MT contract, MPOB production and stock releases, seasonal monsoon/harvest patterns, and CPO/soybean oil spread behavior—converge to support the trade.

Factor market structure and Bursa trading hours to avoid chasing overnight news or retail impulse trades, using alignment to filter false breakouts around festive demand spikes and MPOB data surprises.

Bottom Line In Practice

Only buy when FCPO breaks above a clear resistance on high volume during Bursa hours, MPOB weekly stocks fall, seasonal supply is tightening due to monsoon impacts, and the CPO/soybean oil spread is widening in favor of CPO.

FCPO Lenses
PsychologyRisk ManagementPosition SizingMarket StructureFundamentals
QuoteImpact 5/5Video
Direct Mentor Quote

you'd want to flip that coin as much as possible

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Explaining that if you have a statistical edge, you should increase the number of trials to realize long-term profits.

QuoteImpact 5/5Video
Direct Mentor Quote

when you adjust it for your batting average ... you'd still be a two to one trader

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Calculating adjusted reward-to-risk by incorporating win rate into the payoff to show the trade remains profitable even with a sub-50% win rate.

QuoteImpact 5/5Public Dossier
Direct Mentor Quote

low-risk, high-reward entry points

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Describes the focus of SEPA—identifying favorable entry points in leading stocks rather than chasing broad narratives.

QuoteImpact 5/5Video
Direct Mentor Quote

You're not looking for the biggest gain... the largest gain may cost you an opportunity cost

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Arguing that seeking very large single winners reduces the number of opportunities and can be suboptimal

FrameworkImpact 5/5Video
Core Idea

Win-rate × Risk-Reward Expectancy

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Evaluate edge by combining your win rate with average win and loss sizes to determine overall expectancy.

QuoteImpact 5/5Video
Direct Mentor Quote

The maximum level is not what you're looking for, you're looking for the optimum level so you can turn that edge over as many times as possible

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Defines the core trading goal of finding an optimal return target that allows frequent re-deployment of capital

FrameworkImpact 5/5Public Dossier
Core Idea

SEPA (Specific Entry Point Analysis)

Public Source DossierPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

A framework to identify low-risk, high-reward entry points in leading stocks using screening, chart signals, and timing tools.

QuoteImpact 5/5Video
Direct Mentor Quote

Optimizing your trading so you're getting the biggest return in the shortest amount of time and ... you're able to do it consistently, that's the main thing.

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Emphasis on focusing trading approach to maximize returns quickly and, crucially, consistently.

FrameworkImpact 5/5Video
Core Idea

Optimal Target Framework

Holy Grail in Trading VideoPages 1-1
Original Mentor Insight

Determine a trade target that balances ease of occurrence with risk so you can execute that edge repeatedly.