Preparation over prediction
Minervini argues that trading success comes from setting up repeatable processes — scouting likely leaders, waiting for the market and a stock’s chart to align, defining precise entries and exits, and enforcing tight risk control — rather than trying to forecast every move.
He stresses watching volatility and overall market tone and only becoming aggressive when both the environment and the individual chart give confirmation.
This approach prioritizes preparation, timing and disciplined trade management so outcomes are driven by rules and execution instead of prediction luck.
Preparation over prediction for FCPO means building repeatable entry, exit and risk rules that account for 25‑MT contract sizing and MYR settlement, MPOB monthly reports, monsoon-driven production cycles and seasonal festive demand rather than guessing prices.
Focus on timing trades within Bursa Malaysia hours, managing lot-based position sizing, watching CPO/soybean oil spreads and having contingency plans for high-volatility MPOB surprises.
Enter one 25‑MT long FCPO lot after MPOB shows a 5% drop in stocks versus last month, size stops to limit loss to 1% of portfolio value and monitor CPO/SBO spread for exit signals.