You don't need to know what's going to happen next to make money; anything can happen; and every moment is unique.
Douglas argues that successful trading depends on adopting three core beliefs: you can profit without predicting the next market move, you must accept that any outcome is possible, and each trade is a unique event with its own edge and result.
Embracing these ideas removes the need for certainty, reduces fear of unexpected market behavior, and lets you focus on executing a probabilistic process repeatedly.
This mindset builds self-trust and keeps you from sabotaging trades when the market behaves erratically.
As an FCPO trader on Bursa Malaysia, you don't need to predict whether monsoon rains will boost or crush production, or whether the next MPOB report will trigger a 50-point spike—anything can happen in crude palm oil markets, and every price tick is unique despite seasonal patterns.
The 25MT lot structure and MYR denomination mean your edge comes from disciplined execution and risk management, not from forecasting the unknowable interplay between Malaysian weather, global soybean oil spreads, and festive demand cycles.
You may have profited on three consecutive bullish MPOB reports using the same trade setup, but the fourth report with identical production data could gap down 40 points—treating each market open as a fresh, probabilistic event rather than a repeatable pattern is what separates consistent FCPO traders from those chasing yesterday's edge.